Prognostic factors in Latin American patients with localized and advanced renal cell carcinoma: a literature review
Introduction
Background
Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) accounts for more than 270,000 new cases in men and 160,000 in women (1). Recent projections indicate that some countries in Latin America (LA) require urgent planning of healthcare resources for the diagnosis and management of this cancer. Brazil and Ecuador may experience the greatest increase in incidence in both sexes by 2030 (2).
In addition, the widespread use of imaging has contributed to the earlier diagnosis of small renal masses (SRMs) (3). However, despite the increased detection and treatment of small tumors, the worldwide mortality rates have not been consistently reduced. This demonstrates the need for reassessment of this cancer (4).
Overall, tumor-related factors, such as pathological stage, tumor size, nuclear grade, and histological subtype, had the most important independent prognostic impact (5). Nevertheless, grouping these data into clinical, demographic, and biomolecular parameters can lead to a better analysis.
Rationale and knowledge gap
Increasing efforts to study prognostic factors related to RCC may shorten the regional discrepancies, particularly in the scenario of scarce literature in LA, in comparison to Europe or North America (6,7).
The evaluation of RCC prognosis allows a greater capacity to anticipate outcomes, in addition to a better understanding of tumor biology and the orientation of the proposed treatment.
Health equity is directly related to understanding regional disparities and the health determinants of a region, such as differences in personal, social, economic, and environmental factors of individuals or populations (8).
Objective
Considering the progress of publications about RCC in LA, we provide a review of the main prognostic factors described in different stages of the disease. We present this article in accordance with the Narrative Review reporting checklist (available at https://amj.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/amj-22-110/rc).
Methods
The PubMed database was used to identify studies on this theme, particularly those from LA. Studies by the Latin American Renal Cancer Group (LARCG) and the Latin American Cooperative Oncology Group (LACOG) were included. TCM and DA selected the main articles used in this study. Table 1 presents a summary of the search strategy.
Table 1
Items | Specification |
---|---|
Date of search | November 2022 |
Databases and other sources searched | PubMed |
Search terms used | [(“Kidney Cancer” OR “Renal Cell Carcinoma”) AND (“Prognostic factors” OR Predictors)] OR [(“Kidney Cancer” OR “Renal Cell Carcinoma”) AND “Latin America”] |
Timeframe | 2000–2022 |
Inclusion criteria | Included papers in English, Spanish or Portuguese |
Selection process | TC Mourão and D Abreu selected the papers |
Additional consideration | Papers from the LARCG and from the LACOG were considered |
LARCG, Latin American Renal Cancer Group; LACOG, Latin American Cooperative Oncology Group.
Prognostic factors
Clinical and demographic factors
LA represents a large geographic area, with most of the population living in developing countries (9). Over time, a singular ethnic group has mixed, consisting of indigenous natives and European, Asian, and African immigrants, which could be associated with unique predictors.
Age and male sex are well established predictors of malignancy. The highest incidence rates occur around the seventh decade of life and the median age of death is 72 years (10-13). Advanced age is also associated with worse cancer-specific mortality (14).
In LA, elderly people aged ≥60 years were associated with an almost three-fold increase in mortality rate compared to younger patients up to 40 years in a cohort of non-metastatic RCC patients (15).
Female sex has already been described as being related to a 19% reduction in the mortality rate from cancer compared to the male sex. However, this difference was not observed in women aged >59 years (16).
Regarding the clinical prognostic factors, smoking has been associated to high-grade tumors. Some studies have shown that risk progresses directly to tobacco load and the duration of the addiction (17). In a LA series, former smokers had lower overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates, but the difference was not statistically significant (15). Further studies are required to clarify this issue.
The presence of systemic symptoms, such as weight loss, fever, anorexia, night sweats, enlarged cervical lymph nodes, bilateral varicoceles, lower limb edema, or hepatosplenomegaly, are associated with advanced disease. Another point is the diagnosis of paraneoplastic syndrome, which occurs with anemia, elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, coagulopathies, high alkaline phosphatase levels, hypercalcemia, polycythemia, or arterial hypertension (18). These signs and symptoms can affect both the OS and CSS (15).
The Karnofsky and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance scores are largely used in oncological patients. The prognostic value of these classification systems has been demonstrated for decades in RCC (19,20). Similarly, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification system was described as an independent predictor of OS and CSS in studies from LA. The patients classified as ASA ≥3 have a higher risk of disease progression or cancer death, besides of more chance of surgical complications (21,22). In a study from the LARCG comprising 5,670 non-metastatic clear cell RCC (ccRCC) patients, ASA classification ≥3 increased the risk of death by 48% in a multivariate analysis (15). Another study analyzed 530 patients with de novo metastases. Most patients have previously undergone cytoreductive nephrectomy. The authors proposed stratification into risk groups for 5-year OS based on ASA classification, presence of perirenal fat invasion, and the number of metastatic sites (23).
At this point, the geographic region itself did not influence survival outcomes in a pooled analysis of patients with metastatic RCC who were treated in selected clinical trials. In that study, OS in LA was similar to that in other world regions (8).
Anatomical and histological factors
Most histological subtypes are ccRCC, followed by papillary RCC. Both originated from the proximal convoluted tubules. The third most frequent subtype is chromophobe RCC, which occurs more distally in the nephron.
Most tumors are solitary lesions, and bilateral involvement can occur in 2–4 % of sporadic neoplasms. In addition, multicentricity is found in approximately 10–20% of patients, particularly in the papillary subtype (5,24).
Regarding tumor size, up to 30% of SRM have benign histology. If the masses are less than 2 cm in size, up to 40% are benign. Furthermore, malignant SRM often demonstrate indolent behavior (25-28). A retrospective series from LA studied SRM in more than 1,500 patients. It was described that the extracapsular extension, the bilaterality, and patients with ASA ≥3 increase the risk of recurrence in this setting (9).
The nuclear features are independent prognostic factors for ccRCC and papillary subtypes (29-31). Currently, nuclear grade classification is described by the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) and the World Health Organization based on nucleolar characteristics, presence of pleomorphisms, and sarcomatoid or rhabdoid features (32). In addition, tumor size and nuclear grade were not associated with worse prognosis in chromophobe RCC patients than in ccRCC patients (33). Variant histologies showing sarcomatoid or rhabdoid differentiation show worse CSS (34).
The identification of an infiltrative growth pattern is implied in the prognosis of the disease and commonly requires the differential diagnosis of urothelial carcinoma, lymphomas, or even non-neoplastic pathologies. Sarcomatoid variants or collecting duct carcinoma are exceptions to this infiltrative pattern. In contrast, cystic lesions are associated with better prognosis than solid tumors (5).
Several histopathological features have been described in RCC patients. Therefore, renal capsule, renal sinus, or collecting system invasion is found in up to 20% of cases. These aspects represent the aggressive behavior of the neoplasia. A notable aspect is the predilection of RCC for venous system involvement in approximately 10% of cases (35). Venous tumoral thrombi may be present in the renal vein or extend to the vena cava or even the right atrium. The commitment of the wall of the vena cava is associated with worse prognosis and integrates a part of the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification system (35-37).
Although patients with perirenal fat infiltration or renal sinus fat invasion are grouped at the same tumor stage (pT3a), evidence suggests prognostic differences in these cases. In a previous study, the combination of these two pathological characteristics resulted in an unfavorable oncological outcome and a higher association with metastasis. The 5-year CSS rates were 64.6% and 63.3% in the groups with only perirenal fat infiltration and renal sinus infiltration, respectively. However, considering the combination of these variables, the rate was only 31% (38).
These findings were also observed in the LARCG group, where the concomitant involvement of the perirenal fat and renal sinus led to worse CSS [hazard ratio (HR) =4.5] and a higher risk of local or systemic recurrence (HR =8.08 and HR =2.42, respectively) (39).
Another LA study evaluated 220 patients who were treated between 1992 and 2009. The presence of perirenal fat invasion concomitant with renal vein invasion presented almost triple the risk of cancer death and more than twice the risk of progression compared with patients with only one of these factors (40).
Regarding tumor surgical margins, more discussions have appeared after the dissemination of nephron-sparing surgeries. Indeed, several reports have revealed no association between recurrence and salvage treatments, particularly for T1 lesions (41,42). Notwithstanding, there is significant concern in high-risk patients, such as those with pT2 stage or high nuclear grade (43).
An analysis from a large multicenter database in eight countries from LA and Spain described the prognostic impact of other histopathological factors, such as the presence of tumor necrosis (10-year OS, 54.4%; 10-year CSS, 67.9%), microvascular invasion (10-year OS, 56.6%; 10-year CSS, 65.9%), and renal pelvis infiltration, venous invasion, and adrenal gland involvement. In this study, the positive surgical margins showed a decrease of approximately 10% in the 10-year CSS, but it did not persist as an independent predictor in multivariate analysis (15).
Among these metastatic patients, Abreu et al. [2020] showed in a study of 530 metastatic RCC cases that the presence of spinal bone metastasis predicted shorter OS than patients with non-spinal bone metastasis. In this population, ASA 3–4, non-clear cell histology, and age were independent predictors of death (44).
Molecular factors
The ability to identify genes or proteins associated with more or less aggressive cancers would lead to a better capacity to assess prognosis as well as more individualized treatment. Several potential molecular markers that impact oncological outcomes have been suggested. However, the routine use of these markers has not been applied in current clinical practice. Some breakthrough findings in ccRCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) research network include the identification of alterations in genes related to von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) proteins, such as PBRM1, BAP1, and SETD2 (5).
It has already been suggested that certain alterations in the VHL gene (locus 3p25-p26) could be related to some clinical variables, such as loss of heterozygosity and association with nuclear grade, lymph node involvement, or tumoral necrosis. However, it was not possible to determine the prognostic effects of these alterations (45).
Patard et al. analyzed the role of VHL gene mutations and immunohistochemical expression of type IX carbonic anhydrase (CA-IX) in 100 patients who underwent surgical treatment. In that study, the absence of VHL mutations and low CA-IX expression was associated with advanced disease and the presence of metastases. On multivariate analysis, only CA-IX expression was identified as an independent prognostic factor (46). Another study evaluated the mutational status of VHL and its clinical impact in patients with sporadic ccRCC. In that study, VHL protein expression was present in 80% of cases and was not associated with survival. Only nonsense-type mutations (5% of cases) appear to be associated with a worse prognosis (47).
CA-IX appears to play a role in regulating intra- and extracellular pH during periods of hypoxia in tumor cells. It has been reported that about 94% of ccRCC cells stain positively for CA-IX. Low expression of this marker is associated with poor survival rates (48-50). In patients with low CA-IX expression, concomitant high expression of Ki67 was an independent predictor of worse survival (48). As a counterpoint, immunohistochemical analysis of the MIB-1/Ki-67 marker was performed in patients with localized ccRCC. There is no association between recurrence and cancer-related mortality (51).
Among other frequently identified gene alterations, it is possible to cite mutations in PBRM1 (up to 41%), SETD2 (up to 12%), and BAP1 (up to 11% of cases), among others. These three genes are located on the short arm of chromosome 3 (52).
The BAF180 protein, encoded by the PBRM1 gene, is a subunit of the switch defective/sucrose non-fermentable (SWI/SNF) chromatin remodeling complex. This promotes the mobilization of chromatin histones. This complex has the characteristics of a tumor suppressor gene, and mutations in its subunits are associated with other cancers. Immunohistochemical expression of PBRM1 in neoplastic renal tissue was previously analyzed, showing that the absence of expression of this marker was associated with worse tumor stage, in addition to worse CSS, and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (53). Other authors have reported similar results associated with tumor aggressiveness and the absence of expression of this gene (54,55).
BAP1 encodes BRCA-1-associated protein-1, which acts as a deubiquitinating enzyme and regulates multiple cellular pathways related to carcinogenesis. In two recent studies, da Costa et al. reported that the loss of BAP1 immunohistochemical expression in metastatic tumor tissue resulted in worse survival rates. Furthermore, even tumors in earlier stages, which had a concomitant loss of PBRM1 and BAP1 expression, presented a higher risk of recurrence and cancer death (56,57).
Similarly, the expression of SETD2 was analyzed in 662 ccRCC cases. It has been suggested to be an independent predictor of 10-year CSS and OS in these patients, with over 60% higher risk (58). Its role as a prognostic biomarker has also been suggested in metastatic disease, particularly in the ccRCC subtype, in patients in the intermediate-risk group, according to the International Metastatic RCC Database Consortium (IMDC) criteria (59).
Other genes are also implicated in the prognosis of RCC, such as the chromatin remodeling genes EZH2 and KDM5C, in addition to the DNA-repair genes MET, TERT, NF2, SMARCB1, TFE3, and genes related to the mTOR signaling pathway, such as the PTEN tumor suppressor gene, and the MTOR gene itself (52,60,61). This research field is vast, and contradictory results are often common. PTEN gene expression was analyzed in 53 cases. Gene deletions were observed in 40% of the samples. There is no evidence of a relationship between poor survival rates and poor prognostic factors (62).
Mutations in TP53 tumor suppressor genes have been associated with several cancers. In an analysis of TCGA data, TP53 mutations were associated with survival in ccRCC and papillary and chromophobe subtypes (63). Morshaeuser et al. performed external validation of a panel with multiple molecular markers. They showed a cut-off point of 20% for p53 protein expression with an impact on disease progression and cancer-specific mortality (64). Overexpression of p53 has also been associated with poor prognosis in other studies (65-67).
In a study carried out in LA, CD44 and CD133 stem cell markers were separately evaluated by immunohistochemical expression in a population of ccRCC patients who underwent surgical treatment. Low CD133 expression is an independent predictor of CSS and progression-free survival. In contrast, overexpression of CD44 glycoprotein was associated only with stage and nuclear grade, but it did not affect survival (68,69). This is still a debatable issue, and a previous meta-analysis showed an association between the overexpression of CD44 and worse OS and CSS. CD133 expression is a protective factor against CSS (70).
A study conducted in Brazil analyzed a series of markers using immunohistochemical expression. Among them, extracellular matrix metalloproteinases, a set of enzymes that may be related to metastasis mechanisms, are associated with poor prognosis. The nitric oxide synthases, which mediate the production of nitric oxide, are associated with several tumors. In this study, nitric oxide synthase 3 (NOS-3) was associated with worse OS and larger tumor size (71).
The cellular apoptosis pathway requires the activation of initiator and effector caspases. The lack of expression of these proteins can result in impaired signaling that leads to cell death, allowing the uncontrolled growth of neoplastic cells. Vilella-Arias et al. investigated the role of loss of expression of caspase 7, an effector caspase, in the aggressiveness of renal tumors. Tumor tissues show lower expression of this marker, and are associated with worse CSS and a higher rate of recurrence (72).
Blockade of the immune checkpoint has gained great prominence in the treatment of systemic diseases, as well as in the potential adjuvant role of agents such as anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1), anti-programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1), or anti-CTLA-4. The prognostic value of PD-1 and PD-L1 expression was evaluated in a study of 1,017 (738 available) cases. The positivity of these markers was associated with higher tumor stage, necrosis, and lymphovascular invasion. In addition, PD-L1 expression was an independent predictor of worse RFS, which may represent a tool for better stratification of patients undergoing adjuvant therapy (73).
Among the cell cycle regulators involved in cancer development, cyclin D1 is one of the most prevalent, and its overexpression has been observed in several tumors. In RCC, a Brazilian study evaluated 109 tumor samples and demonstrated that low expression (up to 30% of positive cells) was associated with worse clinical outcomes and poor prognostic characteristics such as high nuclear grade, large tumor size, necrosis, and sarcomatoid pattern (74).
Kovacs et al. analyzed the role of β-catenin, a protein involved in several cell signaling pathways, playing a role mainly as a transcription factor and a protein related to cell adhesion. The authors reported that the expression of this marker was associated with a four-fold greater risk of death from cancer (75).
Finally, another line of research considered the kidney to be an endocrine organ. Thus, the study of proteins produced in the renal cortex can aid in a better understanding of renal cancer carcinogenesis.
Ferreira et al. [2017] and de Almeida E Paula et al. [2019] have contributed to the understanding of possible biomarkers involved in RCC. First, it was shown that the lack of immunohistochemical expression of erythropoietin was an independent predictive factor for the prognosis of cancer. Second, the absence of intratumoral renin expression was associated with high-grade tumors and venous vascular invasion and was found to be an unfavorable prognostic factor for disease-free survival in multivariate analysis (76,77).
Prognostic models
Multifactorial mathematical models have been developed in recent years to serve as prognostic tools and stratify patients into risk categories.
Abnormal laboratory values associated with Karnofsky performance status led to the development of the main prognostic models of advanced RCC, the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), and the IMDC (78-81).
In the setting of non-metastatic disease, the main algorithms for use include the Mayo Clinic SSIGN (Stage, Size, Grade, and Necrosis) score, MSKCC Kattan nomogram, and University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) integrated staging system, called the UCLA Integrated Staging System (UISS) for renal cell carcinoma (82-84). TNM stage is present in these nomograms, in addition to variables such as nuclear grade, tumor size, presence of signs or symptoms, performance status, and presence of tumor necrosis.
Recently, a prognostic score for disease-free survival called GRANT (Grade, Age, Nodes, and Tumor) was validated using a large population of patients with RCC from the ASSURE clinical trial involving adjuvant therapy (85).
The UISS score is related to 5-year disease-free survival. This score differs according to the staging of the disease, with one existing for localized disease and another for metastatic disease. In localized disease, the T stage, Fuhrman nuclear grade, and ECOG performance status were evaluated. In the metastatic scenario, the N and M stages were evaluated. According to this score, non-metastatic patients had 5-year OS and CSS rates of 83.8% and 91.1% in the low-risk group, 71.9% and 80.4% in the intermediate-risk group, and 44% and 54.7% in the high-risk group, respectively (86).
The Kattan nomogram was developed to predict RFS in patients who underwent surgical treatment. Among the variables, 1997 TNM pathological staging, histological subtype, symptomatology, and tumor size were used (86).
The SSIGN score was originally proposed to predict CSS in surgically treated ccRCC patients. Ten categories were described with different 10-year CSS rates. Subsequently, the algorithm was updated to estimate disease-free survival in patients with non-metastatic RCC. The authors proposed stratification into the low-risk group (scores 0–2), intermediate-risk group (scores 3–5), and high-risk of progression (scores ≥6) (86). More recently, a retrospective analysis demonstrated that this tool remains useful in patients with a longer follow-up time (>20 years) and maintains its predictive capacity in a contemporary series of patients who have undergone partial or radical nephrectomy (87).
In LA, a report from the LARCG created a risk group stratification in de novo metastatic patients according to the following variables associated with OS in the multivariate analysis: perirenal fat invasion, ≥2 metastatic organ sites, and ASA classification 3–4 at the time of surgery (Table 2) (23).
Table 2
Risk group stratification | No. risk factors | Median OS (months) | HR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
Favorable-risk group | 0 | NR | – |
Intermediate-risk group | 1 | 33 | 2.04 (1.14–3.65); P=0.016 |
Poor risk group | 2–3 | 14 | 3.58 (2.02–6,34); P<0.0001 |
Adapted from Abreu et al. [2021] (23). Permission is obtained from the publisher. ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; OS, overall survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NR, not reached.
In terms of the strengths and limitations of this review, we were able to discuss the main topics around prognostic factors in RCC, not only in LA but also in classical international literature, which is essential to this theme. We could cite a vast literature from LA regarding several potential biomolecular factors in localized or metastatic RCC. Despite these strengths, this study had some important limitations. Most studies involving prognostic factors in LA are retrospective analyses. In studies on potential biomarkers, most of them used tissue microarray preparations and immunohistochemical assessments. Some technical issues are important, such as possible inadequate fixation, potential loss of antigenicity over time, and tumor heterogeneity in different areas.
Conclusions
Anatomical and histological prognostic factors of RCC have been widely studied for decades. In recent years, biomolecular factors have attracted considerable attention. LA centers played an important role in these research lines. To maintain advancements in the different settings of RCC, larger engagement in clinical trials and prospective studies must be encouraged.
Acknowledgments
We thank all the LARCG members for their contribution in making this organization a reality.
Funding: None.
Footnote
Provenance and Peer Review: This article was commissioned by the editorial office, AME Medical Journal for the series “Renal Cell Carcinoma”. The article has undergone external peer review.
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the Narrative Review reporting checklist. Available at https://amj.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/amj-22-110/rc
Peer Review File: Available at https://amj.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/amj-22-110/prf
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://amj.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/amj-22-110/coif). The series “Renal Cell Carcinoma” was commissioned by the editorial office without any funding or sponsorship. SCZ served as an unpaid Guest Editor of the series and serves as an unpaid editorial board member of AME Medical Journal from June 2022 to May 2024. JY is an unpaid President of the Uruguayan Society of Urology. FRC received fees as a lecturer and advisor and support to attend medical meetings from Advisory Board participation, Bogotá, Colombia – Merck Sharp Dome. He also serves as an unpaid medical advisory board member both for the International Kidney Cancer Coalition and Confederación Americana de Urología. Lucas Nogueira received payment for Advisory Board participation, Bogotá, Colombia – Merck Sharp Dome. The authors have no other conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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Cite this article as: Mourão TC, Zequi SDC, Yandian J, Tobía-González I, Jurado A, Carvalhal GF, Meza-Montoya L, Nolazco A, Ameri CA, Rovegno A, Bengió R, Scorticati C, Rodriguez-Covarrubias F, Autran-Gomez AM, González-Enguita C, Salcedo JGC, Zampolli H, Muguruza D, Tobias-Machado M, Clavijo J, Nogueira L, Palou J, Abreu D. Prognostic factors in Latin American patients with localized and advanced renal cell carcinoma: a literature review. AME Med J 2023;8:25.